1) 一句话结论
今晚 SEC after-close sweep 有两条可交付更新:
2) 新增/增强关系
- SK hynix / planned
- 关系:
- 证据: 2026-06-24 Form F-1
<https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2120882/000119312526280172/d32785df1.htm>
- 关键数字:
- Planned Nasdaq ADS symbol: SKHY,尚未交易。
- Board authorized up to 17.79M new common shares represented by ADSs,约 2.5% outstanding。
- Q1 2026 IDC share:HBM revenue share 56.4% #1;DRAM incl. HBM 29.1% #2;NAND 18.5% #2。
- Q1 2026 revenue ₩52.576T / US$34.510B;Q1 capex ₩7.657T / US$5.026B;FY2025 capex ₩27.519T / US$18.063B。
- M15X HBM/next-gen DRAM wafer input began Q1 2026;Yongin phase-1 cleanroom expected Q1 2027;P&T7 advanced packaging end-2027;Indiana advanced packaging H2 2028。
- Confidence: high for filing/listing/capex evidence;medium for order/backlog conversion。
- Risk label:保守核心 / 交易性增强 — 这是核心瓶颈供应商的公开交易入口和 capex 证据,不是小票订单爆点。
- GPUS / Hyperscale Data — Michigan AI compute MSA
- 关系: existing
- 证据: 2026-06-24 after-close Form 8-K / Exhibit 10.1
<https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/896493/000121465926007704/ex10_1.htm>
- 关键数字:
- Initial 20MW critical IT power for AI compute, split into 10MW Phase 1 + 10MW Phase 2。
- Target delivery: 90 / 180 days after 2026-06-23 MSA date。
- Security deposit US$5.6M;up-front non-recurring charge US$5.0M。
- Customer-funded fit-out;ROFO for up to 32MW additional power, matching potential 52MW total expansion.
- Morning economics retained: 20MW maximum-term revenue >$1.2B;52MW expanded/extended potential >$3.0B。
- Confidence: medium-high for MSA existence;medium for revenue conversion。
- Risk label:激进事件 / 避雷观察 — filed contract is real, but customer redacted, deployment/financing/supplier/GPU details still missing.
3) 交易/观察含义
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- 已更新并推送:graph、backlog tracker、IPO watchlist、Mermaid topology 和 dated note;commit
4) 下一验证点
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今晚 SEC after-close sweep 有两条可交付更新:
SK hynix F-1 把核心 HBM 供应商变成 SKHY 美股 ADS 待上市观察标的;GPUS 则用 8-K/正式 MSA Exhibit 把早盘的 Michigan 20MW AI compute 合同从 PR-only 强化为 filed-contract 证据。2) 新增/增强关系
- SK hynix / planned
SKHY ADS- 关系:
SK_HYNIX -> SKHY_ADS_LISTING_2026;SK_HYNIX -> HBM/ADVANCED_PACKAGING/SEMICAP capex-capacity signal;NVDA -> SK_HYNIX memory-supplier edge strengthened by F-1 corroboration。- 证据: 2026-06-24 Form F-1
<https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2120882/000119312526280172/d32785df1.htm>
- 关键数字:
- Planned Nasdaq ADS symbol: SKHY,尚未交易。
- Board authorized up to 17.79M new common shares represented by ADSs,约 2.5% outstanding。
- Q1 2026 IDC share:HBM revenue share 56.4% #1;DRAM incl. HBM 29.1% #2;NAND 18.5% #2。
- Q1 2026 revenue ₩52.576T / US$34.510B;Q1 capex ₩7.657T / US$5.026B;FY2025 capex ₩27.519T / US$18.063B。
- M15X HBM/next-gen DRAM wafer input began Q1 2026;Yongin phase-1 cleanroom expected Q1 2027;P&T7 advanced packaging end-2027;Indiana advanced packaging H2 2028。
- Confidence: high for filing/listing/capex evidence;medium for order/backlog conversion。
- Risk label:保守核心 / 交易性增强 — 这是核心瓶颈供应商的公开交易入口和 capex 证据,不是小票订单爆点。
- GPUS / Hyperscale Data — Michigan AI compute MSA
- 关系: existing
GPUS_MICHIGAN_AI_COMPUTE_MSA_2026 strengthened;evidence upgraded from PRNewswire to official 8-K filed definitive MSA.- 证据: 2026-06-24 after-close Form 8-K / Exhibit 10.1
<https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/896493/000121465926007704/ex10_1.htm>
- 关键数字:
- Initial 20MW critical IT power for AI compute, split into 10MW Phase 1 + 10MW Phase 2。
- Target delivery: 90 / 180 days after 2026-06-23 MSA date。
- Security deposit US$5.6M;up-front non-recurring charge US$5.0M。
- Customer-funded fit-out;ROFO for up to 32MW additional power, matching potential 52MW total expansion.
- Morning economics retained: 20MW maximum-term revenue >$1.2B;52MW expanded/extended potential >$3.0B。
- Confidence: medium-high for MSA existence;medium for revenue conversion。
- Risk label:激进事件 / 避雷观察 — filed contract is real, but customer redacted, deployment/financing/supplier/GPU details still missing.
3) 交易/观察含义
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SKHY:不是已上市交易信号,但应加入 IPO/listing watch。若 ADS 定价/生效/首日交易确认,可能让美股盘前直接交易一个核心 HBM 供应商,而不是只通过 MU/NVDA/SMH 间接表达。对 MU 也有相对比较意义:SK hynix F-1 给出了更硬的 HBM share/capex/capacity baseline。-
GPUS:正式 MSA exhibit 抬高证据质量,可能继续刺激隔夜/盘前 microcap 情绪;但这是高 beta / dilution / execution-risk 事件,不应按“确定收入 backlog”处理。- 已更新并推送:graph、backlog tracker、IPO watchlist、Mermaid topology 和 dated note;commit
b37433b.4) 下一验证点
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SKHY / SK hynix:F-1 amendment、pricing/effectiveness、official first-trading date/live quote;ADS size/net proceeds;HBM SKU/customer allocation;NVIDIA/customer confirmations;M15X/Yongin/P&T7/Indiana ramp;equipment supplier awards。-
GPUS:客户身份/credit;$5.6M deposit 与 $5.0M upfront NRC 是否实际到账/保留;Phase 1/2 是否按 90/180 天交付;late-Sep/Q4 workload deployment;revenue recognition;$100M–$120M retrofit financing;GPU/server/network/power/cooling supplier awards;32MW ROFO 是否行权。
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