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Week 12 (2026)2026-03-16 to 2026-03-22

Overview

Based on the supplied posts and media from 2026-03-17 to 2026-03-22 UTC, the week focused mostly on BTC order-flow / microstructure analysis, with a noticeable emphasis on caution and reduced leverage. Early posts highlighted short setups using supply/absorption logic, while later BTC posts showed spot buying around \$71,000 and a view that some levels were no longer attractive for fresh shorts. Outside crypto, the channel also tracked QQQ and CRCL, and closed the week by sharing a YouTube link and a PDF on volume profile / market profile / order flow.

Key Themes

  • BTC microstructure trading
    • Repeated use of supply zones, absorption, CVD, distance, heatmaps, and volume-by-side charts.
    • One post also tested FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) as an analytical tool.
  • Risk management
    • Multiple posts explicitly avoided or reduced leverage, preferring spot entries.
    • One post noted that many good opportunities happen overnight in Europe, reducing interest in leveraged/futures trading.
  • Tactical dip buying
    • BTC: spot bought around \$71,000.
    • QQQ: an EQL (equal lows) break was cited as fitting the author’s entry logic; a later follow-up said the buy looked like “catching a falling knife,” with more bids left at 575.
  • Watch on broader indicators
    • Shared Alphractal charts on Bitcoin Realized Cap Impulse, highlighting that the metric was approaching a critical zero-line zone.
  • Learning resources
    • A YouTube video and a PDF titled *Volume Profile, Market Profile, Order Flow Next Generation of Daytrading* were posted.

Notable Posts

  • Mar 17: BTC short setup framework shared:

1. find supply, 2. confirm absorption, 3. use distance as strength confirmation, 4. enter short.

  • Mar 18: BTC stance turned more constructive:
    • “At this level can’t stay bearish; need to try buying more.”
    • “Bought some spot around 71000, not touching leverage for now.”
  • Mar 18: A BTC post commented that a large coin-margined trader opened a short hedge at the low and got trapped.
  • Mar 19: QQQ post said the break below EQL matched entry logic; the next day’s follow-up said the trade looked like a falling knife, with more resting orders at 575.
  • Mar 19: CRCL was shown testing IPO-anchored VWAP.
  • Mar 19: Alphractal’s Bitcoin Realized Cap Impulse charts were shared, noting:
    • long-term negative readings have historically aligned with the mid-phase of aggressive bear markets,
    • short-term readings can act as dynamic support/resistance around zero,
    • current conditions were described as approaching a critical zone.
  • Mar 21-22: External resources posted:
    • a YouTube link
    • a PDF on volume/profile/order-flow trading.

Watchlist

  • BTC around \$71,000
    • This was the main cited spot-buy area and the point where bearishness was reduced.
  • BTC Realized Cap Impulse near zero
    • The posted Alphractal charts framed this as a key area to monitor.
  • QQQ
    • Follow-through after the EQL sweep/break setup, with additional bids mentioned at 575.
  • CRCL
    • Reaction around the IPO-anchored VWAP test.
  • Execution style
    • Whether upcoming setups continue to be taken mainly in spot rather than leverage/futures.
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