Overview

This week focused mainly on BTC intraday structure and market profile levels. Posts tracked a liquidity sweep below EQL, re-acceptance into a value area, a possible 67k retest, and repeated tests of 69k as the key upside pivot. One follow-up noted that the 67k area was reached and produced an ~800-point rebound.

Secondary topics included on-chain BTC signals from Glassnode and Alphractal, plus several equity charts and risk comments on QQQ, MSFT, NVDA, and IBM ESPP.

Key Themes

• BTC level-based trading
  • Liquidity taken below EQL.
  • Attention on a weekend-built value area test.
  • A pullback toward 67k was flagged, then later marked as having bounced.
  • 69k was treated as the main acceptance/rejection level.

• Order flow / confirmation
  • Posts highlighted buy absorption on BTC and used CVD/strength screenshots to judge short-term reaction quality.

• On-chain caution
  • A Glassnode update said the rally toward $76k came with smaller wallets shifting toward distribution and no broad-based accumulation across wallet sizes.

• Equities and positioning
  • A QQQ chart showed a downside scenario toward 473.42.
  • A MSFT chart was paired with an ESPP buy price of 333.
  • NVDA was framed as a “panic” dip-buy question.
  • IBM ESPP was criticized as unfavorable for employees.

Notable Posts

• BTC: 67k retest idea played out
  • The channel noted BTC had been accepted back into a value area and said to watch a retest near 67k.
  • A later update said “给到了，反弹了800点”, i.e. the level was reached and BTC rebounded about 800 points.

• BTC: 69k remained the key pivot
  • One post said that if BTC could get accepted above 69k, conditions would improve materially.
  • A later post said 69k was rejected for the second time.

• Glassnode accumulation update
  • Shared view: the move toward $76k lacked broad accumulation support, with smaller wallet cohorts leaning toward distribution.

• Alphractal SOPR signal
  • The post highlighted LTH/STH SOPR Ratio < 0.38 as a level where Bitcoin cycle bottoms have tended to form, and suggested setting an alert there.

• Stocks / ESPP commentary
  • QQQ: downside projection of roughly -16.74% toward 473.42.
  • MSFT: chart aligned with an ESPP buy level at 333.
  • NVDA: dip framed as a possible panic-buy opportunity.
  • IBM: explicit warning to avoid its ESPP based on the shared employee discussion.

Watchlist

• BTC
  • 69k: acceptance vs. another rejection.
  • 67k: retest/reaction area.
  • Lower liquidity / EQL zone near 65,648.75 shown on charts.

• On-chain BTC
  • Whether accumulation broadens beyond current wallet behavior.
  • LTH/STH SOPR Ratio 0.38 alert level.

• Equities
  • QQQ 473.42 downside scenario from the shared chart.
  • MSFT 333 ESPP reference level.
  • NVDA support area shown near 164.51 on the chart.

• Corporate risk
  • IBM ESPP was specifically flagged as a product/risk to avoid.

Overview

In the supplied posts for 2026-03-23 to 2026-03-30, the channel mixed live BTC trade notes, order-flow education, and risk-off US equity commentary. BTC discussion centered on the ~69k area, absorption/LVN reclaim setups, and one disclosed spot BTC buy. On equities, posts highlighted elevated fear / VIX, a sharp Friday liquidation tone, and a separate warning that QQQ could still drop ~15% from then-current levels. Several historical OrderFlows.com charts were shared to illustrate liquidity grabs, stop runs, buying imbalances, and accumulation.

Key Themes

• BTC around ~69k: Multiple charts treated ~69k as an important level; the view stayed constructive if a downside deviation was recovered.
• Absorption and spot buying: The channel called out BTC USDT margin absorption and spot-market TWAP buying, then showed a BTC/USDC spot purchase at 68,358.03.
• Liquidity and stops: Posts emphasized that stops often sit above prior highs / below prior lows, and that price seeks liquidity. One post explicitly paired this with the idea that futures drive price, while spot drives value.
• Order-flow education: Historical examples showed previous-day-low sweeps, aggressive buyers stepping in, buying imbalances, institutional accumulation, and limited selling interest.
• Equity risk sentiment: Friday was described as a liquidation / “Black Friday” session. A VIX chart was framed as showing historically tradable fear, but the poster also stressed cash preservation and downside risk in QQQ.
• Ongoing study: Two books were shared for exploring markets through a signal-processing / cycle-analysis lens: *Cycle Analytics for Traders* and *Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures*.

Notable Posts

• Mar 26: `$BTC USDT margin absorption, spot market TWAP buying` was posted, followed by a BTC/USDC spot buy screenshot at 68,358.03.
• Mar 26: BTC charts argued that ~69k still mattered, with added LVN break-and-reclaim confluence.
• Mar 27 (intraday): After a break of the range low, the poster said the expected reaction did not appear yet, so they were not taking a long; later the same area was marked as looking more like absorption than divergence.
• Mar 27: A VIX/fear chart was posted with the view that this kind of fear in US stocks has historically offered opportunity, but another post the same day warned of a possible ~15% QQQ drop in a worst-case scenario and urged holding enough cash.
• Mar 27 & Mar 29: Historical OrderFlows.com examples covered testing the previous day’s low, institutional buying / accumulation, and locating longs through buying imbalances with little selling interest.
• Mar 26: A sentiment post contrasted Jim Cramer’s positive Meta comment with a sharp Meta selloff (“Yesterday vs Today”).

Watchlist

• BTC ~69k zone: whether downside deviations continue to be reclaimed.
• BTC flow quality: whether the noted absorption and spot TWAP buying continue.
• Liquidity sweeps: reactions after breaks of local highs/lows or range boundaries, especially whether there is confirming absorption before taking longs.
• US equities / QQQ: whether elevated fear becomes a buyable setup or the warned downside scenario extends.

Overview

Based on the supplied posts and media from 2026-03-17 to 2026-03-22 UTC, the week focused mostly on BTC order-flow / microstructure analysis, with a noticeable emphasis on caution and reduced leverage. Early posts highlighted short setups using supply/absorption logic, while later BTC posts showed spot buying around \$71,000 and a view that some levels were no longer attractive for fresh shorts. Outside crypto, the channel also tracked QQQ and CRCL, and closed the week by sharing a YouTube link and a PDF on volume profile / market profile / order flow.

Key Themes

• BTC microstructure trading
  • Repeated use of supply zones, absorption, CVD, distance, heatmaps, and volume-by-side charts.
  • One post also tested FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) as an analytical tool.

• Risk management
  • Multiple posts explicitly avoided or reduced leverage, preferring spot entries.
  • One post noted that many good opportunities happen overnight in Europe, reducing interest in leveraged/futures trading.

• Tactical dip buying
  • BTC: spot bought around \$71,000.
  • QQQ: an EQL (equal lows) break was cited as fitting the author’s entry logic; a later follow-up said the buy looked like “catching a falling knife,” with more bids left at 575.

• Watch on broader indicators
  • Shared Alphractal charts on Bitcoin Realized Cap Impulse, highlighting that the metric was approaching a critical zero-line zone.

• Learning resources
  • A YouTube video and a PDF titled *Volume Profile, Market Profile, Order Flow Next Generation of Daytrading* were posted.

Notable Posts

• Mar 17: BTC short setup framework shared:

1. find supply, 2. confirm absorption, 3. use distance as strength confirmation, 4. enter short.

• Mar 18: BTC stance turned more constructive:
  • “At this level can’t stay bearish; need to try buying more.”
  • “Bought some spot around 71000, not touching leverage for now.”

• Mar 18: A BTC post commented that a large coin-margined trader opened a short hedge at the low and got trapped.

• Mar 19: QQQ post said the break below EQL matched entry logic; the next day’s follow-up said the trade looked like a falling knife, with more resting orders at 575.

• Mar 19: CRCL was shown testing IPO-anchored VWAP.

• Mar 19: Alphractal’s Bitcoin Realized Cap Impulse charts were shared, noting:
  • long-term negative readings have historically aligned with the mid-phase of aggressive bear markets,
  • short-term readings can act as dynamic support/resistance around zero,
  • current conditions were described as approaching a critical zone.

• Mar 21-22: External resources posted:
  • a YouTube link
  • a PDF on volume/profile/order-flow trading.

Watchlist

• BTC around \$71,000
  • This was the main cited spot-buy area and the point where bearishness was reduced.

• BTC Realized Cap Impulse near zero
  • The posted Alphractal charts framed this as a key area to monitor.

• QQQ
  • Follow-through after the EQL sweep/break setup, with additional bids mentioned at 575.

• CRCL
  • Reaction around the IPO-anchored VWAP test.

• Execution style
  • Whether upcoming setups continue to be taken mainly in spot rather than leverage/futures.

Overview

• The supplied posts this week focused mainly on BTC market structure and execution context, especially resistance, equal highs (EQH), liquidity, and CVD/order flow.
• A separate on-chain note highlighted weak short-term holder profitability as a constraint on sustained BTC recovery.
• The channel also flagged equity chart areas of interest in HOOD and GS.
• One post documented a debugging session for the order-flow tooling.

Key Themes

• BTC resistance and EQH monitoring: BTC was framed as needing attention at overhead resistance, with later review emphasizing an EQH / prior-high area as key liquidity.
• Order flow and CVD confirmation: Cross-exchange charts and commentary focused on whether aggressive buying at highs was being absorbed, and whether CVD behavior would confirm any trade after liquidity is taken.
• Macro/on-chain caution: A Glassnode chart noted Short-Term Holder Supply in Profit below 50%, described as a bear-market hallmark and a condition to watch before any durable recovery.
• Selective equity levels: HOOD was marked as an interest area, while GS was mapped with a possible LVN fill near 750 as a conditional buy zone.

Notable Posts

• Mar 14 — BTC Friday review: The post said the move was missed, but the area around the prior high / EQH was described as a strong short location because spot and perp participants were aggressively chasing higher prices. The stated stance was not to short immediately now, but instead to watch whether EQH liquidity is taken and then judge by CVD.
• Mar 13 — BTC resistance: A chart post said “$BTC needs eyes on the resistance level”, highlighting overhead resistance on multiple timeframes.
• Mar 13 — Glassnode signal: Shared the view that when STH Supply in Profit falls below 50%, most recent buyers are underwater and demand-side risk appetite tends to stay weak until that metric reclaims 50%.
• Mar 13 — HOOD: Marked “this is my interest area” on the HOOD chart.
• Mar 12 — GS: Noted GS was in a consolidation zone; if that area is not accepted, the post watches for a move lower to fill an LVN around 750, where a buy would be considered.
• Mar 15 — Debug / tooling: Shared a debugging example from the order-flow system, with log output showing BNB signal states and pivot-related diagnostics.

Watchlist

• BTC: overhead resistance, the EQH / prior-high liquidity, and CVD behavior if that level is broken.
• BTC on-chain: whether STH Supply in Profit can move back above 50%.
• HOOD: the chart-marked interest area.
• GS: current consolidation acceptance vs. a move toward the noted LVN near 750.

Overview

In the supplied posts for 2026-03-02 to 2026-03-09 UTC, activity was concentrated on Mar 4-6 and was dominated by BTC. The stance evolved from briefly considering shorts near the rally highs to preferring longs on pullbacks, especially around 69k, as posts cited strong spot/USDT-margin buying, a strong value area built since 60k, and later thick bids in the order book. Outside crypto, the log recorded partial profit-taking in PLTR and a starter-position idea in IREN.

Key Themes

• BTC value support: multiple posts referenced a strong value area built since 60k, with price still above it.
• Short-squeeze conditions: rising OI, extreme/negative funding, and continued short buildup were described as signs of a squeeze rather than a clean short setup.
• 69k buy zone: 69k was repeatedly cited as a level to wait for or buy, with order-book confirmation becoming important later.
• Trade management in equities: PLTR was trimmed by 1/3 with a stated target for the remainder; IREN was flagged for initial accumulation.

Notable Posts

• Mar 4: BTC was first marked as “another time to consider a short,” but later posts said the setup was unclear and favored waiting to long instead. One post explicitly called the move a short squeeze.
• Mar 5: BTC bias turned constructive again: “wait for 69k,” plus an external chart note looking for longs above daily demand for a move to the weekly VaH.
• Mar 5: BTC was also noted as showing exhaustion and bearish absorption, but the stance remained bearish without opening shorts.
• Mar 5: PLTR — sold 1/3 around the current price after buying on the “thick green line”; next target stated around 167 for the remaining 2/3.
• Mar 6: BTC late-week dip was treated as buyable: 69k was called a buy zone, thick bids in the order book were flagged as confirmation, and a rebuy was posted.
• Mar 6: IREN — “can start building a position.”

Watchlist

• BTC: the 69k area; whether order-book bid support persists; whether price continues to hold above the value area described as built since 60k; upside reference remains the weekly VaH if daily demand holds.
• PLTR: remaining 2/3 position with stated target around 167.
• IREN: early accumulation / starter-position setup.

Overview

BTC dominated the week’s posts. The log shifted from a tactical short scalp on Feb 25 to a more constructive stance by Feb 28: BTC spot was added, the pullback was framed as a test of the VAL of a large value area, and later order-flow charts were cited as showing absorption in both spot and perps. The overall tone was cautious rather than aggressive, with repeated reminders to avoid leverage.

Outside crypto, the week included selective stock activity: half of an NFLX position built below 80 was sold at 91.66, ORCL was bought, and MSTR / COIN were flagged as attractive on a discount basis.

Key Themes

• BTC structure and order flow
  • Overhead BTC order pressure was noted on Kiyotaka.ai, with the caveat that it could be spoofing.
  • A later BTC chart was described as moving “very standard.”
  • By Feb 28, the channel highlighted spot + futures absorption as a strong bullish signal.

• Gradual BTC accumulation
  • A weekend BTC buy was posted: text said 0.01 BTC added; the order screenshot showed 0.0102 BTC at 63,550 USDC.
  • Total BTC holdings were said to be 0.2 BTC.

• Risk management / leverage restraint
  • A quick BTCUSD coin-margined perpetual short was closed the same night for +2.28%.
  • The log explicitly said:
    • no leveraged trades on Friday,
    • avoid leverage “at this moment,”
    • not overly bearish while funding rates were deeply negative.

• Selective equities
  • NFLX: partial profit-taking.
  • ORCL: fresh buy.
  • MSTR / COIN: described as “good price now, big discount.”

Notable Posts

• Feb 25: BTCUSD CM perpetual short closed for +2.28%; entry 69,104.9, average close 68,326.3, leverage 2x. The post said it was a quick trade and would not be held overnight.
• Feb 26: BTC overhead order pressure was flagged on Kiyotaka.ai, but the post warned it might be spoofing.
• Feb 27:
  • NFLX: position built below 80; half sold at 91.66.
  • ORCL: some shares bought.
  • MSTR / COIN: called “big discount.”
• Feb 28:
  • BTC spot buy posted: 0.01 BTC added (screenshot shows 0.0102 BTC at 63,550 USDC).
  • Rationale: price was touching the VAL of a large value area.
  • Later post said both spot and contract markets showed meaningful absorption, described as a strong bullish signal.
• Feb 27: The channel also reposted a headline claiming Paramount acquired Warner Bros for $110B.

Watchlist

• BTC
  • The VAL / LVN areas referenced in the charts.
  • Whether the overhead sell pressure remains real or proves to be spoofing.
  • Whether the spot/perps absorption seen on Feb 28 continues.

• NFLX
  • Follow-through after the partial take-profit at 91.66.

• ORCL
  • Newly added this week.

• MSTR / COIN
  • Both were explicitly flagged as discounted by the channel.

Overview

• Activity this week focused mainly on BTC levels and execution areas, with additional attention on BNB and XRP.
• BTC commentary stayed level-driven: the channel watched a prior MSB zone, noted a preferred action area near $65,000, and later flagged $69,500 as a likely volatility trigger because of unliquidated shorts.
• The weekend tone was described as quiet.
• Outside market posts, the channel shared one nPoC educational graphic and announced a v1.0 tool release.

Key Themes

• BTC structure
  • BTC was said to have reached a prior MSB zone.
  • A quick break and reclaim of that area was framed as important to keep an $80,000 move possible.
  • A separate post said the author would still wait for around $65,000 to act.
  • Another post highlighted unliquidated shorts near $69,500, warning of likely volatility if price approaches.

• Altcoins
  • BNB was flagged as buyable.
  • XRP was highlighted as being in a critical zone around its Realized Price, with the note that failing to reclaim and hold above it can signal structural weakness.
  • A follow-up comment said XRP is also in a good position.

• Education / tooling
  • One chart explained naked point of control (nPoC) in the context of balance vs. imbalance and noted it should not be used blindly.
  • A 1.0 release was announced for a tool that turns a Telegram channel into a real-time website.

Notable Posts

• Feb 18: “BNB可以买” — BNB was marked as a buy idea.
• Feb 18: BTC was said to be in a prior MSB zone; a fast reclaim was needed to keep the $80k scenario alive.
• Feb 20: “我还是会等65000附近出手” — preference to wait for around $65,000 on BTC before acting.
• Feb 21: “币圈这周末看来挺安静” — crypto market described as quiet going into the weekend.
• Feb 22: BTC liquidation heatmap post flagged ~$69,500 as an area with significant unliquidated shorts and likely volatility.
• Feb 22: XRP on-chain post said it is in a critical zone around Realized Price.
• Feb 22: Follow-up comment: “瑞波其实也算是个好位置了” — XRP/Ripple was also described as being in a good spot.

Watchlist

• BTC ~$65,000 — preferred action area mentioned in the channel.
• BTC reclaim of the prior MSB zone — tied to the previously mentioned $80k upside scenario.
• BTC ~$69,500 — large short-liquidation cluster to monitor for volatility.
• XRP vs. Realized Price — key on-chain level highlighted this week.
• BNB — remains on watch after the buy call.