2026-04-13 to 2026-04-19 · Trading log

Week 16 (2026)2026-04-13 to 2026-04-19

# Trading log — Weekly Digest (2026-04-13 to 2026-04-20 UTC)

The week focused on BTC market structure / derivatives and U.S. equity scan updates.
On the U.S. stock side, both daily summaries reported no formal triggers in the four price/volume structures, though many large-cap names stayed close to high price + low volume conditions.
On BTC, the tone shifted from bearish crowding cooling off early in the week to bullish crowding with OI expansion and a short squeeze later in the week.
Trade and portfolio updates centered on BTC, BNB, CRCL, ORCL, HOOD, and MSFT.

U.S. equity scans
- Repeatedly listed near high price + low volume: QQQ, VOO, AMD, NVDA, IBKR, GOOGL, NFLX, QQQI.
- Later additions in that bucket included AXP, TSM, VRT, META.
- High relative-volume names included PLTR, CRWV, ORCL, NBIS, GS.
- PLTR was specifically noted as close to a low price + high volume structure.

BTC derivatives regime change
- Early-week read: funding had recovered to -1.8 bps, predicted funding stayed negative (-15.4 bps), and OI was down 0.5%; the interpretation was more of a post-crowding repair than a clean continuation lower.
- Later-week read: funding flipped to +27.3 bps, predicted funding to +27.2 bps, and OI rose 6.1%; short liquidations (51.8M) far exceeded long liquidations (4.3M), pointing to a squeeze-driven move.

Order-flow interpretation
- Several posts emphasized that CVD alone does not show the full story.
- Side-specific volume was used to argue that selling pressure was being absorbed, rather than price rising because buyers were strongly aggressive.
- One spike was framed as short stop-outs / forced buying rather than purely fresh long chasing.

Trade management
- BTC short exposure was repeatedly described as light size / low leverage.
- BNB was traded tactically while most of the position was described as long-term hold.

A QQQ worst-case chart suggested a possible replay of the prior year’s pattern.
BTC: a short-entry zone up to 72,500 was discussed; later, the EQH sweep filled 72,500, and a subsequent post marked 76k LQG as achieved.
BNB: bought at 594, sold at 604.
CRCL and ORCL were highlighted as the portfolio’s biggest daily winners.
ORCL was later shown at 155.62 in regular trading and 166.35 after hours.
CRCL was later sold near the stated target area.
HOOD: about 1/10 of the position was sold, with remaining targets listed at 92 and 101.
MSFT ESPP: average cost 333.15; plan stated to sell half at 410.

BTC: post-squeeze conditions, hot funding, and the completed 76k liquidity grab; later posts turned more cautious on near-term risk.
HOOD: 92, then 101.
MSFT: 410 for selling half of ESPP shares.
Repeated scan names: QQQ, VOO, AMD, NVDA, IBKR, GOOGL, NFLX, QQQI.
High-volume names to monitor: CRWV, PLTR, ORCL, NBIS.