Overview
- Covered period: 2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03 UTC.
- The week was split between frequent BTC structure/derivatives updates and recurring “美股日线摘要” posts.
- BTC stayed the main focus: funding was negative for most of the week, OI moved roughly from $7.27B to $8.08B, and spot premium was repeatedly described as tight/mixed rather than broadly confirmed.
- In U.S. equities, the daily screens were dominated by “高位 + 高量” names; the other three quadrants were almost always empty. Recurrent tickers included ARM, AMD, GEV, TSM, SIMO, STX, GOOGL, NVDA, MU, SMH, TER, VRT.
Key Themes
- BTC around EQH / sweeps: multiple chart posts focused on equal highs, highs sweeps, selling into bids, and absorption of market sells.
- Derivatives vs spot: repeated contrast between negative funding / changing OI and still-split spot premiums across exchanges.
- AI infra relationship-map update: two new “high-confidence official” links were added:
- META → AVGO / MTIA custom ASIC
- MU → HBM4 → NVDA
- Process and positioning: the channel also shared technical-analysis/process commentary, a thematic long-term stock pool, and a few example trades.
Notable Posts
- BTC regime notes ranged from “extreme negative funding + longs washed out” early in the week
(funding -86.59 bps, predicted -96.49 bps) to near-neutral/slightly negative funding with larger OI later (funding -0.49 bps, OI about $8.01B). The repeated takeaway was: stronger/repairing, but still fragile because spot confirmation stayed narrow.
- BTC chart callouts included:
- “EQH继续压制”
- “selling into the bids”
- “classic”
- a short entered after a highs sweep
- a later note that EQH had still not been fully cleared, with ~79,500 as the area of interest
(one attached chart showed EQH near 79,431.83).
- Personal trade posts:
- BTCUSDC perpetual: buy, 3x, +3.42%, entry 75,270.8, average exit 76,160.7
- MSFT intraday: 399 buy, 409 sell
- Daily stock-summary standouts:
- Early week: ARM, GEV
- Midweek: ARM, AMD, SMH, NVDA
- Later week: SIMO, STX, GOOGL
- Later negative extremes included LITE, NBIS, ASML, CRCL, LRCX
- NBIS was separately noted for a roughly 10% move from the prior day’s low into premarket.
Watchlist
- BTC
- Whether EQH around 79,431.83 / ~79,500 gets swept
- Whether spot premium broadens across venues
- Whether higher OI is confirmed by spot rather than mainly squeeze dynamics
- Repeated names from the week’s daily screens
- ARM, AMD, GEV, TSM, MU, SMH, NVDA, SIMO, STX, GOOGL, VRT, TER
- AI infra follow-up from the map update
- AVGO / Meta project revenue timing
- MU HBM4 capacity, share, and margin detail
- Pinned long-term stock pool / core names
- 电力/电网: ETN, GEV, VRT, PWR, CEG, VST
- 网络安全: PANW, CRWD, ZS, NET, CYBR
- 医疗效率: LLY, NVO, ISRG, TMO, DHR, ABT
- 国防/太空: RTX, LMT, NOC, PLTR, AVAV, RKLB
- 自动化: ROK, EMR, TER, SYM, CGNX
- 水资源: XYL, ECL, WTS, AWK
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