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Week 18 (2026)2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03

Overview

  • Covered period: 2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03 UTC.
  • The week was split between frequent BTC structure/derivatives updates and recurring “美股日线摘要” posts.
  • BTC stayed the main focus: funding was negative for most of the week, OI moved roughly from $7.27B to $8.08B, and spot premium was repeatedly described as tight/mixed rather than broadly confirmed.
  • In U.S. equities, the daily screens were dominated by “高位 + 高量” names; the other three quadrants were almost always empty. Recurrent tickers included ARM, AMD, GEV, TSM, SIMO, STX, GOOGL, NVDA, MU, SMH, TER, VRT.

Key Themes

  • BTC around EQH / sweeps: multiple chart posts focused on equal highs, highs sweeps, selling into bids, and absorption of market sells.
  • Derivatives vs spot: repeated contrast between negative funding / changing OI and still-split spot premiums across exchanges.
  • AI infra relationship-map update: two new “high-confidence official” links were added:
    • META → AVGO / MTIA custom ASIC
    • MU → HBM4 → NVDA
  • Process and positioning: the channel also shared technical-analysis/process commentary, a thematic long-term stock pool, and a few example trades.

Notable Posts

  • BTC regime notes ranged from “extreme negative funding + longs washed out” early in the week

(funding -86.59 bps, predicted -96.49 bps) to near-neutral/slightly negative funding with larger OI later (funding -0.49 bps, OI about $8.01B). The repeated takeaway was: stronger/repairing, but still fragile because spot confirmation stayed narrow.

  • BTC chart callouts included:
    • EQH继续压制
    • selling into the bids
    • classic
    • a short entered after a highs sweep
    • a later note that EQH had still not been fully cleared, with ~79,500 as the area of interest

(one attached chart showed EQH near 79,431.83).

  • Personal trade posts:
    • BTCUSDC perpetual: buy, 3x, +3.42%, entry 75,270.8, average exit 76,160.7
    • MSFT intraday: 399 buy, 409 sell
  • Daily stock-summary standouts:
    • Early week: ARM, GEV
    • Midweek: ARM, AMD, SMH, NVDA
    • Later week: SIMO, STX, GOOGL
    • Later negative extremes included LITE, NBIS, ASML, CRCL, LRCX
  • NBIS was separately noted for a roughly 10% move from the prior day’s low into premarket.

Watchlist

  • BTC
    • Whether EQH around 79,431.83 / ~79,500 gets swept
    • Whether spot premium broadens across venues
    • Whether higher OI is confirmed by spot rather than mainly squeeze dynamics
  • Repeated names from the week’s daily screens
    • ARM, AMD, GEV, TSM, MU, SMH, NVDA, SIMO, STX, GOOGL, VRT, TER
  • AI infra follow-up from the map update
    • AVGO / Meta project revenue timing
    • MU HBM4 capacity, share, and margin detail
  • Pinned long-term stock pool / core names
    • 电力/电网: ETN, GEV, VRT, PWR, CEG, VST
    • 网络安全: PANW, CRWD, ZS, NET, CYBR
    • 医疗效率: LLY, NVO, ISRG, TMO, DHR, ABT
    • 国防/太空: RTX, LMT, NOC, PLTR, AVAV, RKLB
    • 自动化: ROK, EMR, TER, SYM, CGNX
    • 水资源: XYL, ECL, WTS, AWK
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