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Week 19 (2026)2026-05-04 to 2026-05-10

Overview

  • The week centered on U.S. equities + BTC, with a strong focus on chart structure, relative extremes, and execution discipline.
  • In the channel’s stock snapshot, SIMO, GOOGL, and STX stood out as high-price + high-volume names. Other upside extreme readings included SNDK (1.90), STX (1.78), MU (1.55), while downside extremes included NBIS (-1.92), ASML (-1.84), CRCL (-1.61), LRCX (-2.22).
  • BTC commentary shifted from negative-funding short squeeze to constructive but fragile: funding improved, OI rose to about $8.61B (+5.70% 24h), shorts were squeezed more than longs, but spot confirmation remained mixed across exchanges.

Key Themes

  • Extremes need market structure confirmation.

A post explicitly said the relative-position extreme metric is not a standalone signal and should be combined with market structure. It singled out NBIS and CRCL as clearer setups, while LRCX and ASML were described as less certain.

  • Momentum leadership and missed-move frustration.

The channel highlighted setups or strong moves in ORCL, MU, and SNDK, while also noting frustration at not getting entries or exiting too early.

  • BTC patience over chasing.

BTC was framed as a market where opportunities come from waiting, especially with leverage building faster than broad spot confirmation.

  • Defense/autonomous systems theme.

AVAV was highlighted after the company posted that the U.S. Army selected Switchblade 400 for the LASSO program (dated 2026-05-04), reinforcing the defense/autonomy procurement theme.

Notable Posts

  • Daily U.S. stock summary
    • High price + high volume: SIMO, GOOGL, STX
    • Hottest volume: STX 4.62, SIMO 4.33, GOOGL 3.80, TER 3.58, WDC 2.79
    • Biggest positive extreme readings: SIMO 2.22, GOOGL 2.06
    • Negative extreme readings: NBIS -1.92, ASML -1.84, CRCL -1.61, LRCX -2.22
  • NBIS / CRCL follow-through
    • After being identified as clearer setups, follow-up screenshots showed:
      • NBIS: $169.21, +9.53%
      • CRCL: $109.64, +9.97%
  • BTC market structure / derivatives read
    • Current funding: -1.58 bps
    • Predicted funding: -10.87 bps
    • OI: ~$8.61B
    • 8h liquidations: longs 28.44 BTC vs shorts 200.07 BTC
    • Spot premia were mixed: Kraken +0.03%, Binance/Bitstamp +0.00%, Coinbase -0.03%, Gemini -0.01%
  • Trading performance share
    • A screenshot showed realized P/L of $548.22 across 36 trades for Apr 28, 2026 – May 04, 2026.
  • Chart callouts
    • ORCL was posted as a setup.
    • Later commentary said ORCL was sold too early, while MU and SNDK were cited as missed or hard-to-enter runners.

Watchlist

  • BTC — watch whether rising OI gets broader spot confirmation; the post warned that more leverage without spot participation could make the move fragile.
  • AVAV — watch for contract value, delivery pace, and production expansion; related names explicitly mentioned were KTOS, RTX, LHX.
  • NBIS, CRCL — previously identified as the clearer relative-extreme setups and already showed strong follow-through in posted screenshots.
  • ASML, LRCX — still referenced, but the channel said these were less certain.
  • SIMO, GOOGL, STX, MU, SNDK, ORCL — names repeatedly highlighted through the week via volume, relative-strength, or chart-based posts.
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