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Week 21 (2026)2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24

Overview

  • The week’s posts focused on BTC/ETH derivatives, AI/semi equities, and a smaller set of HK/China names.
  • BTC commentary stayed consistent: funding was hot early, but spot confirmation stayed split. Reported BTC funding moved from +57.78 bps to +48.09 bps, then +79.83 bps, later +40.03 bps, and finally -8.20 bps; OI stayed roughly $7.77B–$8.06B and spot premiums remained around 0.00% with venue divergence.
  • Trade-log posts showed active position management: an ETHUSDT long screenshot at +12.23%, repeated CRWV futures trades, and exits in HYPE, ARM, and NBIS.
  • Daily US stock summaries (data dates 2026-05-15, 05-18, 05-19, 05-20, 05-21) repeatedly highlighted semi/AI-adjacent names and volume leaders such as MRVL, NVDA, ARM, VRT, QQQI, QQQ, IBKR, COIN.

Key Themes

  • BTC still looked derivatives-led, not spot-led. Multiple posts warned that upside was being driven more by funding/squeeze dynamics than by broad spot confirmation.
  • Semi/AI infrastructure remained a core focus. The channel tracked both trading names and supply-chain signals, including ADI’s $1.5B acquisition of Empower Semiconductor and NVDA 10-Q supply/capacity commitments rising from $95.2B to $119B.
  • Fast trade execution and profit-taking. The log showed entries, trims, exits, and restarts rather than long-form conviction calls, with explicit notes on avoiding FOMO.
  • Selective new ideas outside US megacap tech. Posts mentioned Tencent around HKD 410, a small FUTU starter, plus disclosed cost/entry areas for ASX, ANET, and CEG.

Notable Posts

  • ETH / BTC early-week crypto post: an ETHUSDT perpetual long screenshot showed +12.23% on 10x leverage, with visible entry at 2,123.27 and current price 2,149.18. A separate comment said the day’s washout was mainly in semiconductors, while BTC was strong.
  • CRWV became the most actively traded ticker in the log:
    • described as a trade with relatively high certainty;
    • one screenshot showed CRWV LONG 3x +12.8% (95.876 → 99.958);
    • later, the author said CRWV futures were closed at 101;
    • another screenshot showed CRWV LONG 2x +10.6% (101.95 → 107.36);
    • the position was described as something to trade repeatedly around key levels.
  • Exits logged:
    • HYPE: position closed; screenshot showed avg buy 46.34 / avg sell 50.70.
    • ARM: fully closed with stated average cost “217多”; a later post said it was sold too early.
    • NBIS: fully closed with stated cost 194.94.
  • AI infrastructure/supply-chain posts:
    • ADI / Empower Semiconductor: official-signal post framed the deal around AI power delivery / grid-to-core / point-of-load bottlenecks.
    • NVDA 10-Q: manufacturing/supply/capacity commitments rose to $119B; cloud-service commitments rose to $30B.
  • Other disclosed levels/positions:
    • Tencent: “around 410” was flagged as a level to consider.
    • ASX: stated cost 29.9.
    • FUTU: small starter position opened.
    • ANET: position built in the 141–138 area.
    • CEG: bought in the 270s.

Watchlist

  • BTC — key confirmation points repeatedly cited were: OI expansion and broadly positive spot premiums across venues.
  • CRWV — remained an actively traded futures name around key levels.
  • AI/semi complex — names and signals discussed included NVDA, ADI, ARM, NBIS, MRVL, VRT, ASX, ANET.
  • HK/China / broker platformsTencent and FUTU.
  • Power / infrastructureCEG.
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