Overview
- The week’s posts focused on BTC/ETH derivatives, AI/semi equities, and a smaller set of HK/China names.
- BTC commentary stayed consistent: funding was hot early, but spot confirmation stayed split. Reported BTC funding moved from +57.78 bps to +48.09 bps, then +79.83 bps, later +40.03 bps, and finally -8.20 bps; OI stayed roughly $7.77B–$8.06B and spot premiums remained around 0.00% with venue divergence.
- Trade-log posts showed active position management: an ETHUSDT long screenshot at +12.23%, repeated CRWV futures trades, and exits in HYPE, ARM, and NBIS.
- Daily US stock summaries (data dates 2026-05-15, 05-18, 05-19, 05-20, 05-21) repeatedly highlighted semi/AI-adjacent names and volume leaders such as MRVL, NVDA, ARM, VRT, QQQI, QQQ, IBKR, COIN.
Key Themes
- BTC still looked derivatives-led, not spot-led. Multiple posts warned that upside was being driven more by funding/squeeze dynamics than by broad spot confirmation.
- Semi/AI infrastructure remained a core focus. The channel tracked both trading names and supply-chain signals, including ADI’s $1.5B acquisition of Empower Semiconductor and NVDA 10-Q supply/capacity commitments rising from $95.2B to $119B.
- Fast trade execution and profit-taking. The log showed entries, trims, exits, and restarts rather than long-form conviction calls, with explicit notes on avoiding FOMO.
- Selective new ideas outside US megacap tech. Posts mentioned Tencent around HKD 410, a small FUTU starter, plus disclosed cost/entry areas for ASX, ANET, and CEG.
Notable Posts
- ETH / BTC early-week crypto post: an ETHUSDT perpetual long screenshot showed +12.23% on 10x leverage, with visible entry at 2,123.27 and current price 2,149.18. A separate comment said the day’s washout was mainly in semiconductors, while BTC was strong.
- CRWV became the most actively traded ticker in the log:
- described as a trade with relatively high certainty;
- one screenshot showed CRWV LONG 3x +12.8% (95.876 → 99.958);
- later, the author said CRWV futures were closed at 101;
- another screenshot showed CRWV LONG 2x +10.6% (101.95 → 107.36);
- the position was described as something to trade repeatedly around key levels.
- Exits logged:
- HYPE: position closed; screenshot showed avg buy 46.34 / avg sell 50.70.
- ARM: fully closed with stated average cost “217多”; a later post said it was sold too early.
- NBIS: fully closed with stated cost 194.94.
- AI infrastructure/supply-chain posts:
- ADI / Empower Semiconductor: official-signal post framed the deal around AI power delivery / grid-to-core / point-of-load bottlenecks.
- NVDA 10-Q: manufacturing/supply/capacity commitments rose to $119B; cloud-service commitments rose to $30B.
- Other disclosed levels/positions:
- Tencent: “around 410” was flagged as a level to consider.
- ASX: stated cost 29.9.
- FUTU: small starter position opened.
- ANET: position built in the 141–138 area.
- CEG: bought in the 270s.
Watchlist
- BTC — key confirmation points repeatedly cited were: OI expansion and broadly positive spot premiums across venues.
- CRWV — remained an actively traded futures name around key levels.
- AI/semi complex — names and signals discussed included NVDA, ADI, ARM, NBIS, MRVL, VRT, ASX, ANET.
- HK/China / broker platforms — Tencent and FUTU.
- Power / infrastructure — CEG.
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