Overview

• In the supplied posts for this window, activity was concentrated on 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-16.
• The overall tone was risk-aware rather than outright bearish: a broad 4H scan flagged many names at resistance, with the explicit reminder: “不是看空，只是提醒及时落袋为安而已”.
• Portfolio updates showed a move toward more cash and lower AI/semi concentration, while crypto commentary focused on BTC breakout/value-area behavior and ETH support tests.
• Research posts stayed active across AI infrastructure, AI workflow, and event-driven listings/orders.

Key Themes

• Take-profit / no-chase discipline:

A 4H radar scan flagged RKLB, IONQ, NVDA, CRWV, MSFT, ASTS, DUOL, CRWD, PLTR, ORCL, MRVL, APLD, META, FUTU in resistance zones; SNPS was flagged at 4H support. Several posts repeated a “watch, don’t chase” stance.

• Portfolio de-risking:

On 6/15, disclosed concentration was led by NVDA 17.64%, AVGO 14.60%, SMH 11.84%, MSFT 11.20%, with AI/semi exposure 54.22% and cash 50.10%. By 6/16, AVGO 19.30% and MSFT 14.69% were the largest positions, while NVDA fell to 13.01%, SMH to 7.93%, AMAT to 0.06%, AI/semi exposure fell to 46.51%, and cash rose to 60.78%.

• Crypto market-structure focus:

BTC posts centered on breakout confirmation, sell-order absorption, re-accumulation near resistance, and VAH/POC acceptance. ETH was first noted as a missed stronger squeeze, then later as retesting support, with 1720 mentioned as the next level if support fails.

• Research-driven AI infra tracking:

The week included multiple event notes on LIXT/NOMAD, SPCX, AIBZ, GPUS, TSEM/IQE, SHMD, SMCI, and CRM/Fin.

• Narrowing focus:

There was also an explicit decision to track fewer names, especially in US equities, and focus more on mainstream tickers.

Notable Posts

• 6/15 Portfolio risk report:

Heavy AI/semi exposure remained, but the framework emphasized support/resistance discipline and avoiding aggressive chasing.

• 6/15 MSFT / BTC notes:

MSFT was described as a prior-week buy around 386. BTC spot was partially reduced into a watched breakout area. A later BTCUSDT perpetual screenshot showed a long at +17.86%, with open 65,931.2 and latest 67,139.4.

• 6/15 AI infra/event updates:
  • LIXT / NOMAD: acquisition framed as a high-risk early signal tied to mobile BESS and AI/data-center power bottlenecks, not a confirmed AI order.
  • SPCX: actual Nasdaq trading was confirmed.
  • AIBZ / GPUS / TSEM-IQE: new capacity/supply-chain signals were logged, with different confidence levels.
  • SMCI: the $39B AI server orders did not increase, but a 75M depositary share offering closed for about $3.75B gross proceeds.
  • CRM: Salesforce signed a deal to acquire Fin for about $3.6B.
• 6/16 Portfolio shift:

Cash increased, AI/semi exposure decreased, and AVGO became the largest disclosed position.

• 6/16 SHMD / market notes:

SHMD disclosed more than €26M of order intake since mid-May tied to AI infrastructure and optical-module demand. Separate tactical posts noted a missed AMKR move, no desire to force trades, BTC waiting for post-break acceptance, ETH on support, and continued patience on SMH.

Watchlist

• Core portfolio names: AVGO, MSFT, NVDA, SMH, ORCL, ANET, AMZN, ISRG — mainly for position sizing and resistance/support discipline.
• Names flagged near resistance/support: RKLB, IONQ, CRWV, ASTS, DUOL, CRWD, PLTR, MRVL, APLD, META, FUTU; SNPS for support-zone behavior.
• Crypto:
  • BTC: whether price can hold above the new value area / VAH after breakout.
  • ETH: whether support holds or opens the path toward 1720.
• AI infra / event names: LIXT/NOMAD, SPCX, AIBZ, GPUS, TSEM/IQE, SHMD, SMCI, CRM.

Also noted: QMLS still showed no confirmed trading, and ZFIV had not been observed as actually trading.