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Week 26 (2026)2026-06-22 to 2026-06-28

Overview

  • Supplied posts were concentrated on Jun 22–25 and split across three buckets: public portfolio risk logs, AI infrastructure/news radar, and discretionary chart/trade notes.
  • The public risk reports explicitly used IBKR Flex `LastBusinessDay` data, so they were not intraday-real-time.
  • Across the three portfolio updates, the reported mix moved sharply toward AI/semi exposure:
    • Cash / cash-like: 62.41% → 51.09% → 31.10%
    • AI / semiconductor exposure: 36.05% → 47.84% → 66.60%
  • Reported top exposures shifted from SMH / MSFT / NVDA on Jun 22 to SMH / MSFT / MU on Jun 23 and SMH / ASML / MSFT on Jun 24.
  • A separate post said direct NVDA exposure was no longer being held, with exposure moved through SMH to reduce single-name risk.
  • Tactical trading posts remained active: OKB was sold at 80 against resistance, while BTC posts focused first on 65,500 resistance and later on a range/VAH reclaim as the condition for a lower-timeframe trend reversal.

Key Themes

  • Semiconductor concentration increased.

SMH stayed the core vehicle, while the latest risk report also highlighted ASML, MU, AMAT, MRVL and other semi-linked names. SMH constituent updates showed a higher NVDA weight, and QQQ updates added/raised several AI-linked names.

  • AI infrastructure research centered on power, land, water, and capacity.

Major posts tracked Oracle’s quantified infrastructure commitments, Microsoft/Chevron Project Kilby, TPL’s land/water role, PRIM energy awards, HIVE site buildout, and Fervo/PNNL/NVIDIA geothermal validation.

  • Memory/HBM remained a major branch.

Posts upgraded the Micron/Anthropic relationship, flagged Micron Q3 AI-memory/data-center revenue, and added SK hynix’s F-1 / planned SKHY ADS listing to the watchlist.

  • Execution stayed chart-driven and repeatable.

Attached screenshots showed realized/performance snapshots in AMAT, ASML, KLAC, MU, CRWV perpetuals, with an accompanying note that the setup logic was broadly the same across names.

  • Secondary enterprise-budget read-throughs were also tracked.

Posts covered IBM/OpenAI in application security, Coursera/Udemy combined modeling, Korn Ferry talent demand, and Paychex FY26/Q4 plus its WISE AI engine.

Notable Posts

  • Jun 22 – Fervo / PNNL / NVIDIA:

EGS-Twin geothermal digital twin work was framed as a technical-validation signal, not a new backlog/order.

  • Jun 22 – Oracle FY2026 10-K:

The post highlighted $13.309B of data-center power-related obligations and $19B of additional cloud infrastructure purchase commitments.

  • Jun 23 – Microsoft / Chevron Project Kilby:

A 20-year PPA targeting about 2.67GW for West Texas data centers was cited, with GE Vernova and Caterpillar Solar Turbines named in the read-through.

  • Jun 23 after close – TPL and Cerebras:

TPL was linked to Project Kilby through land + brackish water resources; Cerebras posted its first public-company Q1 update and reiterated the OpenAI >$20B / 750MW and AWS branches.

  • Jun 24 – GPUS Michigan MSA:

GPUS announced, and later filed via 8-K / MSA exhibit, an initial 20MW AI-compute deal with potential >$1.2B maximum-term revenue and expansion to 52MW / >$3.0B. Posts repeatedly flagged customer anonymity and execution risk.

  • Jun 24–25 – Micron / SK hynix / semi trades:

The feed upgraded the Micron–Anthropic supply relationship, logged Micron Q3 AI-memory/data-center strength, added SK hynix F-1 / SKHY to the IPO watchlist, and shared Binance screenshots showing AMAT +37.62%, ASML +15.37%, KLAC +13.36%, MU +89.96%, CRWV -4.26%.

  • Jun 22–25 – Crypto charts:

A post said OKB bought below 73 was sold at 80 due to overhead pressure; BTC posts first marked 65,500 as resistance and later said the market needed to build above VAH to confirm a lower-timeframe reversal.

Watchlist

  • Portfolio risk drift: whether the lower reported cash buffer and higher AI/semi concentration persist in the next lagged Flex reports.
  • Project Kilby chain: Chevron FID, GEV/CAT order disclosure, TPL land/water economics, and permitting/interconnection progress.
  • GPUS: delivery against the 20MW MSA, deposits/upfront payments, customer identity, retrofit financing, and supplier disclosures.
  • Memory / HBM: more detail on Micron’s Anthropic agreement, Micron strategic customer agreements, and SKHY filing/pricing/listing progress.
  • Power/infrastructure conversion: whether Oracle, Fervo, PRIM, HIVE updates translate into disclosed project-level PPAs, MW, supplier awards, or revenue.
  • Crypto levels: whether BTC can hold/reclaim the posted range VAH, and whether OKB revisits the 80 resistance area.
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