Overview

• The supplied posts for the week were concentrated on Jul 6–8 and focused on semiconductor-heavy portfolio risk, adding into weakness in select names, and exiting BTC exposure.
• Public portfolio snapshots stayed semi/AI-heavy:
  • Jul 6 report: SMH 39.41%, AMAT 15.05%, ASML 14.72%; AI/semis 84.83%; cash/class-cash 41.16%.
  • Jul 7 report: SMH 37.39%, AMAT 15.72%, ORCL 10.16%, KLAC 8.25%; AI/semis 74.39%; cash/class-cash 45.17%.
• Both risk reports explicitly note they are IBKR Flex `LastBusinessDay` snapshots, not real-time intraday holdings.

Key Themes

• Semis remained the main book driver: SMH and AMAT were repeatedly highlighted as the biggest sources of portfolio volatility.
• Selective dip-buying: the selloff was described as not systemic risk, and the stance was to keep holding while adding back to names like AMAT.
• ORCL exposure increased: a leveraged ORCL position was opened alongside added stock exposure; the next risk snapshot showed ORCL up from 4.67% to 10.16%.
• BTC exposure was reduced/closed: BTC was monitored closely, then a post said the position was closed and spot BTC was sold.
• Single-name selectivity: GOOG was treated cautiously, while MU was watched for a support/resistance-based long setup.

Notable Posts

• Jul 6 — ORCL: “Opened leverage and added stock.” The attached Binance perpetual screenshot showed ORCLUSDT 5x long at +12.14%.
• Jul 6 — BTC: BTC was posted as “watching 👀”, then later “I closed BTC” and spot BTC was sold around 64,047.56.
• Jul 7 — BTC flow comment: the post said heavy sells around 60,000 were absorbed, describing them as mostly stop orders.
• Jul 7 — MU: watched a posted S/R zone; if price was rejected lower and held, the plan was to buy calls/long with a stop under 1%.
• Jul 7 — portfolio shift: the next risk report showed ORCL +5.49 pct and KLAC +4.33 pct versus the prior snapshot.
• Jul 7–8 — AMAT: the author said they were slowly adding AMAT back, after previously trimming around 722, and later added that other positions were also increased.

Watchlist

• SMH / AMAT: still the main portfolio volatility drivers; the posts repeatedly emphasized support/resistance discipline over chasing.
• ORCL: active trade focus and now a larger portfolio position.
• BTC: follow-through after the exit, especially around the 60,000 area mentioned in the order-flow post.
• MU: posted S/R-based long setup if downside rejection appears.
• GOOG: rebound was described as distribution; only puts / bearish exposure was mentioned.
• Levels explicitly posted in the risk reports:
  • ASML 1D: support 1,810–1,848; resistance 1,832–1,900
  • SPCX 4H: resistance 160.93–166.88
  • ANET: 4H support 161.51–164.28; 1D support 159.99–164.04