Powered by AI · Summaries may miss nuance, so verify important details against the original posts.

Week 29 (2026)2026-07-13 to 2026-07-19

Overview

  • The week’s supplied posts focused mainly on semiconductor/AI names, plus a few Binance perpetual screenshots.
  • Early setup posts highlighted AMAT (“local bottom starting to show up”), MU (a 5x long), and SNDK (“worth trading/speculating”).
  • Two public portfolio risk reports — both based on IBKR Flex `LastBusinessDay` data, not intraday real-time holdings — showed a concentrated book in SMH, JEPQ, AMAT, and ORCL.
  • From the 2026-07-13 report to the 2026-07-14 report, AI/semiconductor exposure increased from 49.86% to 53.55%, while cash / cash-like buffer fell from 48.69% to 37.61%.
  • Later posts showed positive 5x perpetual screenshots in AVGO, ORCL, NOW, MU, and AMAT, plus a note about a missed ETH pattern and profit-taking ahead of ASML earnings.

Key Themes

  • Semiconductor concentration: AMAT, SMH, MU, SNDK, and ASML were recurring names across charts, risk reports, and trade screenshots.
  • Risk discipline over chasing: Both portfolio reports stressed managing entries/exits around support/resistance rather than blindly adding to already large AI/semi exposure.
  • AMAT became more important: It was flagged as a possible local bottom, and its portfolio weight rose 11.16% → 17.90% between the two risk reports.
  • Tactical leveraged longs: Screenshoted perpetual positions showed positive P/L at capture time: AVGO +11.32%, ORCL +8.17%, NOW +21.98%, MU +15.83%, AMAT +14.76%.

Notable Posts

  • 2026-07-13 Portfolio risk report
    • Top weights: SMH 28.30%, JEPQ 18.50%, ORCL 13.03%, AMAT 11.16%
    • AI/semi exposure: 49.86%
    • Cash / cash-like buffer: 48.69%
    • Holdings count: 14
  • AMAT / MU / SNDK setup posts
    • AMAT: “local bottom starting to show up”
    • MU: “open a long here, 5x”
    • SNDK: described as a tradable/speculative spot, followed by a later chart update
  • 2026-07-14 Portfolio risk report
    • Top weights: SMH 27.32%, JEPQ 18.54%, AMAT 17.90%, ORCL 10.23%
    • AI/semi exposure: 53.55%
    • Cash / cash-like buffer: 37.61%
    • AMAT weight change: 11.16% → 17.90%
    • Holdings count: 15
  • 2026-07-14 to 2026-07-15 perpetual screenshots
    • AVGOUSDT 5x long: +11.32%
    • ORCLUSDT 5x long: +8.17%
    • NOWUSDT 5x long: +21.98%
    • MUUSDT 5x long: +15.83%
    • AMATUSDT 5x long: +14.76%
  • ETH / ASML notes
    • One post said an ETH pattern was missed due to focus on U.S. equities, and was logged without hindsight claims.
    • Another post said ASML profits were taken ahead of its earnings day.

Watchlist

  • AMAT — repeated across setup posts, portfolio concentration, and perpetual screenshots.
  • SMH / JEPQ / ORCL — remained the main portfolio drivers in the risk reports.
  • MU / SNDK — both were highlighted as tactical chart setups during the week.
  • ASML — earnings-related name after pre-earnings profit-taking.
  • ETH — pattern noted in hindsight-free post, but not traded in the supplied material.
💬 Comment

Comments

No comments yet.